Pro Blog

Staying in touch with current events and market action is important for trading success. This blog contains topics of interest that relate to individual stocks, market indices, market sectors/industries, and ETFs. 

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Market Could Slip in Pullback

Charles Schaap -

Last week, the Nasdaq notched its 5th week in a row of gains. The S&P has been up in 4 out of the last 5 weeks. But the week started out shaky, as Russian troops took over the Crimea. The Nasdaq hit a low of 4,329 on Monday; the S&P hit a low of 1,834. As tensions eased in the Crimea, the market rebounded on Tuesday and held positive gains into the end of the week.

The Nasdaq gained +0.65% last week and closed at 4,336. The small-cap Russell 2000 had the best week, closing up +1.72%. The S&P climbed +1.00% to close at 1,878, and the Dow advanced +0.80%.

The market appears overbought, but overbought can always become more overbought. Breadth closed weak on Friday at -468 (advancers minus decliners). ADX is low on the S&P, in creeper mode, with +DMI on top. The weekly -DMI make a higher low, and that is a warning that the weekly ADX (at 35 now) could slip into retracement/range mode. 

 

September Could Be Worse than August
Charles Schaap - August 30, 2013

Historically, August is one of the 4 worst performing months for the S&P 500 (source: Stock Trader's Almanac). This year, the S&P's performance in August fit the history, falling -2.8% during a market correction. The large, blue arrow represents the month of August....keep reading